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Showing posts with label Proctor and Gamble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Proctor and Gamble. Show all posts

Warren Buffett U.N.C. 1996 lecture | Part 5: Buying stocks, bank consolidations and franchise value

1996 U.N.C. Lecture Series continued...

From your point of view, what's the difference between investing in the whole company like See's Candy, or a piece of the company like The Coca Cola Company?

Warren Buffett does not believe there to be a difference in the two. The same considerations and due diligence should be made if one is seeking to invest in stock or purchase companies completely. However, the two main advantages of owning businesses Buffett highlights are:

  1. If you buy the entire company, you have the ability to change the entire management, if necessary. However, he emphasizes that he would not be buying the company if he had the change the management anyway. In previous lectures, we know how important management is to Buffett, therefore if management was not capable and honest, the company would not be an investment worthy of making. This is because he many not know anything of running the business himself. However, you do have the option of changing management at some point in time if you think this is necessary for the future success of the company.
  2. You would have the ability to take the capital of the company and allocate it appropriately. As he does with his holding company of 70+ businesses, all managers send him excess capital, and he allocates capital as he sees fit towards marketable securities or outright purchasing of companies.

Talk about banking consolidation.

"I do not see economies of scale beyond certain points. There is always an advantage to being dominant in a market, but I am not sure whether you have got $200 billion spread across the country and 15% market shares, that you are going to have a better business than someone that has 30% market share in Rockford, Illinois. We used to own a bank in Rockford, Illinois which made 2% on assets after tax and was conservative in every respect but that bank would earn less money as part of a larger institution. So, I don't see great advantages to shareholders in terms of major expansions of banks. ...The acquiring bank's shareholders will be better off in most situations than the acquirer's shareholders."

I was wondering if you comment on your perspective of investments outside of the U.S. and in particular, address how you would hedge currency risk?

" We like companies that can do well in international markets obviously, particularly where they are largely untapped. Would be buy Coca Cola, if instead of being domicile in Atlanta, it was domicile in London or Amsterdam or someplace? The answer is obviously yes. Would I like it just as well? Probably a tiny notch less. Well, there may be nuances of corporate structures or tax factors or attitudes towards capitalists that I do not quite understand as well. So I prefer, by a small margin to many countries and by a large margin to other countries, U.S. domicile operations. But I also prefer companies that earn high returns on capital. We will look any place to find a good business, and I find it easier to find them in the U.S. because I understand the economy a lot better and I understand how they would function in the future than in some other country, but I don't rule them out."

I agree with this as well. A great way to play currencies is to invest in large U.S. corporations that earn a great share of their earnings outside of the U.S. Buffett mentions a couple examples of Coca Cola and Gillette. Other examples include Johnson and Johnson, Proctor and Gamble (acquired Gillette) and Nike. These are all companies in his portfolio.

What companies do you perceive as having franchise value right now?

Warren Buffett defines it using the idea that will people be willing to pay extra for a particular product versus a cheaper alternative. Does your product create that 'share of mind' in customers head? Are they willing to go through the extra effort to purchase your product than settle for another? He then refers to franchise value as a moat around your business. These questions must be asked. How big is the moat and how durable is that moat? The moat could be based on patents, research, pricing etc. You will need a moat in business to prevent a guy from coming along and taking market share.

See the beginning of the final video for the remaining response to this question.

Enjoy!!!

Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 8: Diversification

"Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing."

In this clip, Warren Buffett talks mainly about diversification, therefore I will concentrate the content just on this topic. He also talks about the businesses of Proctor and Gamble and Coca-Cola and why they are great businesses.

Nevertheless, his response to the question on diversification was two-fold.

1. If you are not a professional investor and your goal is not to manage money so that you get a significantly better return than the world, then 98-99% of the people who invest should diversify. This is the only case where he firmly agrees with diversification. These type of investors should consider indexing.

2. However, if you want to bring intensity to the game; to make a decision and start evaluating businesses, then diversification is a bad idea. If you really know businesses, you shouldn't own more than six of them. Going into a seventh idea rather than adding to your best idea rarely makes sense.

"Diversification is insurance against ones own ignorance."

Investing Philosophy

In an effort to stick to the simplicity of this idea, I will not dwell too much on it. I think it is self explanatory. If you are a sophisticated investor, then diversification may not be necessary. However, if you are not, you should diversify. The idea of diversification to minimize risk is what MBA students are taught in universities. Any finance course will tell you that unsystematic risk is reduced after owning about 15 stocks or so in a portfolio. However, this is dependent on your definition of risk. If you truly understand a business, then this whole philosophy of risk changes. You buy great businesses you understand with great economics, management at a very attractive price; what risk would there be? If you think volatility; well that only offers the opportunity to buy more at attractive prices.

"In the short run, the stock market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine."

Life Philosophy

What does his philosophy on diversification teach us? I think it says that if you are absolutely certain about something, you should not fear putting a lot into it. For example, if I have studied a company, done all that I can to  really understand the business, believe in the management, love the future economics of the company, then why should I hesitate to invest greatly in it. The returns will ultimately come. Consequently, if you truly believe in something, then give it your all, do not be afraid of risks or do not be tempted by what others may be doing, put your all in your best idea, in what you truly want to do with your life, and that is when you will be rewarded. If things do not work out the way you like, then at least you know that you did your best with it and that should be enough. Think about this greatly, diversification is almost another way of saying 'fear of failure or defeat'. Put your effort in what you truly want out of life, and chances are high that your desires will be fulfilled; you will see the returns. It just may not happen when you expect it to, but I assure you, it will happen in due time.

Check my blog posting on Napoleon Hill on The Power of the Mind.






Related Posts
Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 1: Integrity
Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 2: Smart Choices
Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 3: Choosing Businesses
Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 4: Share of Mind
Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 5: Circle of Competence
Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 6: Macroeconomic Factors
Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 7: Inactivity & Dividends
Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 8: Diversification
Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 9: Market Cap
Warren Buffett MBA Talk | Part 10: Ovarian Lottery

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